Animal Production / ASSP / Cattle / Dairying / DFATD / East Africa / Ethiopia / ILRI / LIVES / Livestock / LIVESTOCK-FISH

Integrated bio-economic simulation model for traditional cattle production systems in Ethiopia: Ex-ante evaluation of policies and investments

This working paper develops and applies an analytical and empirical modelling framework which integrates a cattle-herd growth model with an economic model for simulating cattle meat and milk production for ex-ante assessment of the financial profitability of investment interventions to improve cattle production in mixed and agro-pastoral and pastoral production systems in Ethiopia.

The results of bio-economic simulation analysis indicate that the combined investment interventions in cattle health, feeding and management practices to reduce young stock and adult stock mortality is financially viable and enhances Ethiopia’s beef and milk self-sufficiency ratio and has a significant impact on cattle keepers income.

The implementation of the proposed combined investment intervention requires strong private and public partnership and involves changes in public and private sector veterinary service provisions and public investment.

Download the working paper:

Negassa, A., Gebremedhin, B., Gebru, G., Desta, S., Nigussie, K., Shapiro, B.I., Dutilly-Diane, C. and Tegegne, A. 2015. Integrated bio-economic simulation model for traditional cattle production systems in Ethiopia: Ex-ante evaluation of policies and investments. LIVES Working Paper 6. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.

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